Friday, September 30, 2022

College Football Playoff Predictor - After September

 Doing monthly updates on this because I am lazy.

Part of the reason for the monthly updates is that the clear top three teams we started the season with have a) all looked the part, remaining roughly a touchdown clear of the field on a neutral field and b) passed all of their tests thus far.  But as promised there's been a fair amount of movement beneath that, with Oklahoma and A&M disappointing, NC State holding serve, and USC and Minnesota (?) surging.  Perfectly cromulent September all things considered.

Conference odds reflect two paradigms.  For the Group of Five there is effective anarchy.  Cincinnati appears to be the class of the American again, but other than that the only thing I can promise at this point is chaos.  Get ready for an unranked 11-2 team to make the Cotton Bowl.

For the Power Five, things look a bit more normal with chaos lurking just beneath the surface.  Kansas State is 28% to make the Big 12 title game.  Washington is at 37% for the Pac 12.  And no team is more likely to make the Big Ten title game than Minnesota.  Everything still could get weird-ish...stay tuned.





 

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