| Rank | Team | Agg Rank | POFF Prob | Change |
| 1 | Clemson | 2 | 97.9% | -0.4% |
| 2 | Notre Dame | 6 | 88.9% | 16.7% |
| 3 | Alabama | 1 | 85.6% | -4.0% |
| 4 | Michigan | 4 | 46.2% | -1.1% |
| 5 | Georgia | 3 | 39.1% | 2.4% |
| 6 | Oklahoma | 5 | 23.4% | -2.2% |
| 7 | Ohio State | 7 | 7.7% | -1.1% |
| 8 | Washington State | 14 | 5.7% | 0.4% |
| 9 | LSU | 15 | 3.0% | -1.1% |
| 10 | Central Florida | 21 | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 11 | West Virginia | 10 | 1.0% | -9.7% |
1. The 2018 season has been defined by top-heaviness, and the table above is a prime example of that. The seven best teams are the seven teams most likely to make the playoff. I'm really out of things to say at this point because I've said everything that's to be said about these teams. All that's left at this point is to sit back and watch.
2. Syracuse was eliminated by the Yankees. Sorry.
3. The conference-level odds remain the same as they have for the past several weeks. Notre Dame's win streak has eaten away at the other conference's odds, but only so much.
| Conference | Exp Playoff Teams |
| SEC | 1.278 |
| ACC | 0.979 |
| IND | 0.889 |
| B10 | 0.539 |
| B12 | 0.244 |
| P12 | 0.057 |
| AMER | 0.015 |
4. Most divisions are decided, but the last week still packs a punch. Of the 8 divisions left, 5 of them stage winner-take-all games. Add in what is essentially a play-in game in Oklahoma-West Virginia and you have yourself one of the most exciting Thanksgiving weeks possible (from a conference title perspective, at least).
| Conference | Favorite | Perc | Runner-Up | Perc | |
| ACCA | Clemson | 100.0% | |||
| ACCC | Pitt | 100.0% | |||
| AMEE | Central Florida | 100.0% | |||
| AMEW | Houston | 56.0% | Memphis | 23.1% | |
| B10E | Michigan | 55.6% | Ohio State | 44.4% | |
| B10W | Northwestern | 100.0% | |||
| B12 | Texas | 88.7% | Oklahoma | 63.8% | |
| CUSAE | Florida International | 56.2% | Middle Tennessee | 32.9% | |
| CUSAW | UAB | 100.0% | |||
| MACE | Buffalo | 90.4% | Ohio | 5.8% | |
| MACW | Northern Illinois | 100.0% | |||
| MWCW | Fresno State | 100.0% | |||
| MWCM | Boise State | 54.8% | Utah State | 45.2% | |
| P12N | Washington State | 52.8% | Washington | 47.2% | |
| P12S | Utah | 100.0% | |||
| SECE | Georgia | 100.0% | |||
| SECW | Alabama | 100.0% | |||
| SUNE | Appalachian State | 80.3% | Troy | 19.7% | |
| SUNW | Louisiana-Lafayette | 49.3% | Arkansas State | 42.2% |
Week 13 Preview
| Home | Away | Home Win Prob | Playoff Teams Lost |
| Ohio State | Michigan | 44.2% | 0.124 |
| USC | Notre Dame | 20.5% | 0.061 |
| West Virginia | Oklahoma | 42.2% | 0.055 |
| Alabama | Auburn | 91.2% | 0.025 |
| Clemson | South Carolina | 94.4% | 0.018 |
| Georgia | Georgia Tech | 91.2% | 0.017 |
| Texas A&M | LSU | 56.8% | 0.017 |
| Washington State | Washington | 52.8% | 0.013 |
| South Florida | Central Florida | 15.4% | 0.002 |
The last week of the regular season features three top contenders going on the road for major tests, plus a bunch of other traditional rivalries with legitimate stakes. It's the best weekend of the season...enjoy it.
No comments:
Post a Comment